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Investing in Gold Coins: The Last Cheap Asset Class

By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Monday, October 9, 2006

Chris Weber never had to get a real job...

He turned $650 from his paper route into enough money to retire on – by the time he graduated from high school. (See Chris's DailyWealth essay from two days ago by clicking here.)

Did Chris make his fortune in stocks? Or real estate? No...

Chris actually did it in coins...

It sounds crazy today, but coin prices rose 348% from 1972 to 1974, and another 1,195% from 1976 to 1980 (according to the PCGS 3000 coin index at www.pcgs.com).

Rare coin prices peaked in 1989. Today – more than 17 years later – rare coin prices are STILL down 63% from that peak. (And that even includes the decent rise in prices since the price of gold has climbed.)

I think collectibles in general, and rare gold coins in particular, are extremely attractively priced right now. Look, I'm not your typical gold coin buyer... I'm not a gold bug... I'm not an end-of-the-world type of guy.

I simply see extraordinary value and quality. You can buy coins at their lowest premium to their melt value in history. That's attractive.

At DailyWealth, we like to buy what's cheap, hated, and in an uptrend. It's extremely hard to find all three in one investment. But we have it now in coins. Let me show you some charts that clarify the facts.

First off, you need to know that the coin market was revolutionized in the mid-1980s, with the introduction of PCGS, the Professional Coin Grading Service. PCGS authenticates, grades, and seals coins in a small plastic case. This simple innovation “democratized” the coin market, making it possible for amateurs to be certain that they're buying a great coin – not falling for a fake or a dealer's “generous guess” at the quality of a coin.

The introduction of PCGS caused coin prices to rise. The price of an MS-65 graded Saint Gaudens, probably the most popular coin with collectors, reached more than $3,500 a coin (and that's dealer cost!) back in the 1980s. Today, these coins go for about $1,400.

Gold has Soared. Coins Haven't – Yet.

Investing in Gold Coins: Gold Has Soared.

The chart above shows the price of these MS-65 Saints versus the price of gold since the introduction of PCGS. I started recommending these about three years ago, back when they sold for less than $900 per coin.

It may sound hard to believe, but buying RIGHT NOW is a better buy than at any time – including when my subscribers bought for less than $1,000. Let me show you what I mean...

I asked my friend Dana Samuelson to make me a chart showing the price of MS-65 Saints over the last five years versus the price of gold. Keep in mind, rare coins have been cheap over this entire period...

$20 Saint-Gaudens MS-65 Premium
January 2001 - October 2006

Investing in Gold Coins: $20 Saint-Gaudens Ms-65 Premium

You can see that, right now, these great coins are trading at their smallest premium to their meltdown value, ever.

Five years from now, I think any of the premiums above will turn out to be cheap. But right now, gold coins are the best value I've seen since I've been writing about them. Fortunately for readers, the price of gold has gone up, so they've made good money on the coins I've recommended. But right now is a great entry point.

Dana Samuelson is one of my recommended coin dealers. He thinks like I do about coins... how much value am I getting for what I'm paying now?

To me, it's irrelevant whether it's a coin or real estate... how much value am I getting for my money?

The charts you see on this page are not available anywhere else. Dealers like to keep this type of information to themselves. But I've crunched the long-term numbers, and Dana has kindly shared the short-term numbers in the chart above.

If you have never bought rare gold coins before, now is definitely the time to consider them. I think hundreds of percent returns are likely, actually. Remember, from 1976 to 1980, coin prices rose by 1,195%.

I suggest you only deal with the dealers I recommend in True Wealth, such as Dana Samuelson's firm, American Gold Exchange ([email protected], 800-613-9323).

Coin prices are down 63% since their 1989 highs. They're in an uptrend now. They're hated (nobody wants to hear about them at a cocktail party), and they're the best value they've ever been.

Time to buy.

Good investing,

Steve

P.S. MS-65 Saints are rare, and will run you about $1,400. They have about an ounce of gold in them, or less than $600 worth. You can buy gold coins for $600 too, but they aren't rare and don't have upside potential.

If you really want upside, my friend Van Simmons, a founder of PCGS, recommends MS-66 Saints, which are much rarer than MS-65s but only run about $2,600. You can reach Van at 800-759-7575 or [email protected].





Market Notes


NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Dow Industrials… the world's biggest stocks
Akamai (AKAM)… now up 118% since this edition
Lockheed Martin (LMT)… defense
General Dynamics (GD)… defense
Cummins (CMI)… diesel engines
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)… health care
Pfizer (PFE)… big pharma
Novartis (NVS)… big pharma
Bayer (BAY)… big pharma
Schering-Plough (SCP)… big pharma
iShares Europe (EZU)… European large caps
Syngenta (SYT)… agriculture
Goldman Sachs (GS)… investment bank
Morgan Stanley (MS)… investment bank
General Motors (GM)… autos
AutoZone (AZO)… see September 15 issue for details
McDonald's (MCD)… fast food
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A)… Warren Buffett's investment fund


NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

ConocoPhillips (COP)… Warren Buffett's new oil stock
Evergreen Solar (ESLR)… clean energy
Carmike Cinemas (CKEC)… movie theaters
Cheniere Energy (LNG)… LNG plants
Halliburton (HAL)… oil services
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT)… natural gas trust
BJ Services (BJ)… oil services

- Brian Hunt


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