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The Next 121% Rally in Gold Stocks Starts Today

By Brett Eversole
Monday, February 13, 2012

You should consider buying gold stocks right now...
The opportunity is just too good to pass up. The last time these particular conditions came together, gold stocks rallied 121% in 12 months.
Let me explain the opportunity...
Typically, if gold goes up, gold stocks move even higher. And if gold goes down, gold stocks fall even more.
But during 2011, that relationship broke down. Take a look...
The Gold/Gold Stock Relation Broke Down in 2011 
The chart shows the price of gold in blue and gold stocks in black. You can see that in 2009 and 2010, gold stocks performed as expected... They tracked the price of gold, but with more volatility.
But as you can see, that relationship fell apart in 2011... Last year, gold moved higher for the 11th straight year, gaining 10%. But gold stocks actually fell 16%.
Part of the reason was that gold stock investors were skeptical of the "good times." They didn't figure gold's price gains were sustainable. The other problem for gold stocks was that they're stocks. In a volatile market, when stocks in general are falling, gold stocks will fall, too... even if the gold price is rising.
Because gold stocks fell and gold rose last year, they are seriously cheap today...
We have two simple ways to track "value" in gold stocks. The first comes from legendary resource investor John Doody.
John's track record speaks for itself. From 2001 to 2010, a portfolio of his picks gained 1,360%. The stock market returned just 15% during the same period.
In his Gold Stock Analyst newsletter, John tracks a simple "overvalued/undervalued" metric for gold stocks. As of the latest issue of his letter, John's measure shows gold stocks are 17% undervalued. We saw a similar reading in September. Back then, gold stocks jumped 20% in a few weeks.
Another simple way to size up gold stocks is through the ratio of gold to gold stocks. Take a look...
Gold Stocks Rose 121% From Their Last Low
When the ratio of gold/gold stocks is low, gold stocks are cheap compared to the price of gold.
Right now, gold stocks are bouncing off one of their lowest valuation levels ever. The only time gold stocks have been cheaper based on this ratio was late 2008. Back then, shares of GDX (the big gold-stock fund) jumped 121% in 12 months.
Right now, gold stocks are near-record cheap. And it looks like they're starting to once again keep pace with the price of gold. So far this year, gold is up 11.4% and gold stocks are up 9.8%.
This is just the beginning. I expect there's much more to come.
Good investing,
Brett Eversole

Further Reading:

According to resource guru Matt Badiali, one group of small gold stocks is setting up for thousands of percent gains. These companies are the most risky, volatile stocks in the market. But coming out of the biggest commodities rout since 2008, they've got plenty of room to run. If you want to catch these huge gains, the time to get in is now.
For an alternate way to trade precious metals, consider this "out of the box" idea from DailyWealth's go-to gold insider, Van Simmons. This safe investment boasts limited downside risk and hundreds of percent upside. Read more here: What My Most Trusted Gold Insider Is Buying.

Market Notes

Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD)... Big Beer
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)... the "good guys" of fast food
Starbucks (SBUX)... coffee
Cisco (CSCO)... Big Cheap Tech
Microsoft (MSFT)... World Dominator
Las Vegas Sands (LVS)... casino giant
Taubman Centers (TCO)... giant retail REIT
Whole Foods (WFM)... expensive groceries
Wyndham Worldwide (WYN)... world's largest hotel chain
Pulte Homes (PHM)... homebuilder
Toll Brothers (TOL)... homebuilder
D.R. Horton (DHI)... homebuilder
Ryland Group (RYL)... homebuilder
Home Depot (HD)... home improvement
Lockheed Martin (LMT)... Big Defense
Harley-Davidson (HOG)... motorcycles
Philip Morris International (PM)... selling the basics works!

Nevsun Resources (NSU)... gold stock
Carbo Ceramics (CRR)... shale ammo

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