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There's a runaway freight train in the markets. This group of stocks has the strongest uptrend anywhere in the world... and it's still getting stronger.
The government's political agenda is often stronger than its desire to get a good deal for the taxpayer. So it gives tax breaks, low-interest loans, and below-market prices to investors who buy these "toxic assets."
The Japanese government is broke and can't pay back its debts. I think the gargantuan fall in the yen comes when Mrs. Watanabe figures out Japan's government will never pay back the $7 trillion she loaned it.
The price of lumber is set entirely by commercial money responding to real business conditions. There's no public speculation to muddy the water and generate confusing signals.
This "green shoots" optimism could soon turn into a massive crowd stampede out of the dollar and into commodities, gold, real estate, stocks, and foreign currencies.
Right now, the spread between the two-year note and the 10-year note is 2.32%. The spread has only been higher than this three other times in American history.
The long bond competes with other income investments for investor capital. So a rise in the long bond's interest rate can crush certain income investments.
To make successful short plays, old-time traders will tell you, "Throw your rocks into the wettest paper bags." The long-bond market is a wet paper bag. The long bond is so weak, not even the Fed's printing press can hold it up.
Here's the thing: There's always a price that'll "clear" a market. When prices reach a certain level, buyers enter. This is one of the most important fundamental rules of speculation... and it never fails.
Combine the cheap valuations, the dominant competitive advantages, rich option premiums, and you have yourself a very safe stable of income stocks.
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