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This Easy Rule Almost Guarantees Triple-Digit Returns

By Brett Eversole
Friday, March 16, 2012

You've probably never considered buying shares of Hong Kong stocks... but you should.
 
Hong Kong is a special region of China, with solid regulatory structures and low taxes. It ranks in the top three financial centers in the world. And as I'll show you, it's easy for U.S. investors to buy... 
 
Right now, we have an incredible set-up in the Hong Kong stock market. Last time we saw this set-up, it was good for 88% gains... and judging by history, that's a worst-case scenario... 
 
We call this set-up the "10/20 Rule"...
 
To use this rule, all we need to know is the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) on Hong Kong stocks. A low P/E ratio shows that stocks are cheap... while a high P/E shows they are expensive.
 
The P/E ratio of Hong Kong stocks tends to bounce between 10 (cheap) and 20 (expensive). So we want to buy Hong Kong at a P/E of 10 and sell at a P/E of 20.  
 
The 10/20 Rule triggered six trades over the past 40 years. The results of each trade are below...
 
Date 
Years in Trade 
Return 
1974 
1.3 
180% 
1982 
4.8 
463% 
1989 
4.4 
430% 
1995 
2.6 
126% 
1998 
1.8 
116% 
2008 
2.2 
88% 
2012 
 
You can see how extraordinary the returns can be. But the chart below really tells the story. Take a look...
 
 Hong Kong Stocks Soar When the P/E Ratio Moves Higher
 
All six trades on the 10/20 Rule were successful. On average, they returned 234% in under three years. The last time the 10/20 Rule triggered, investors walked away with 88% gains.
 
Right now, the P/E in Hong Kong is 10.8. Yes, that's over 10. But 10 and 20 aren't exact numbers... Hong Kong can bottom below 10 and peak above 20. And Hong Kong stocks are just starting an uptrend and pushing valuations higher.  
 
We want to buy now.
 
The easy way to invest in Hong Kong is the iShares MSCI Hong Kong Index Fund (NYSE: EWH). This fund tracks a basket of Hong Kong-listed stocks.
 
Based on history, we should expect to hold EWH for two to three years and collect triple-digit returns.
 
Buy today and sell when the P/E hits 20 and our 10/20 Rule triggers a sell.
 
Good investing, 
 
Brett Eversole




Further Reading:

Find more tips from the True Wealth Systems computers here...  
 
Since 1998, this system has turned every $10,000 into more than $64,000.
 
These "boring" stocks are a safe way to collect income in a near-zero percent world.

Market Notes


APPLEMANIA

It's not often a company increases its market value by nearly $200 billion in just three months...
 
But since mid-December, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has jumped from $379 per share to $590 per share. That's a 56% increase in share price.
 
A 50%-plus increase in a few months isn't shocking. Many small-cap companies experience those sorts of extreme moves in a given year. But here's the thing: Back in December, Apple was already the world's largest publicly traded company.
 
In mid-December, Apple's market capitalization was about $350 billion. As we write, it is now $547 billion. Due to wild investor interest, Apple's value has increased by the combined value of McDonald's, Starbucks, and Colgate-Palmolive. The increase is also larger than the entire value of health care giant Johnson & Johnson.
 
As you can see from today's chart, Apple has gone parabolic. Everyone, it seems, owns the stock. A major "shakeout" should arrive any time now...
 
Apple (AAPL) Goes Parabolic on the Two-Year Chart

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