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How to Buy the Biggest Oilfield Left in TexasBy
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Yesterday, I told you about the most important U.S. oil discovery in 40 years.
It's the Eagle Ford in South Texas. Judging by the pace of the drilling that's already begun and the production rates of each new well, production in the Eagle Ford will grow to nearly 40,000 barrels of oil per day within the next 24 months. That's roughly $1 billion worth of oil per year at current prices.
Those estimates don't take into account the hundreds of additional rigs that will be put to work...
By 2013, I expect Eagle Ford to yield more than $2 billion in oil and gas and to increase production for at least 20 years. These numbers mean Eagle Ford will probably produce hundreds of billions worth of oil and gas over the next 30-40 years.
How did this happen? How did a giant oilfield suddenly appear in Texas – an area that's been thoroughly studied and drilled since the 1930s? I asked my colleague, resource analyst Matt Badiali, to explain.
For decades, oil companies drilled into the Austin Chalk, the Georgetown, and the Buda limestone, just above the Eagle Ford. These rocks held billions of barrels and trillions of cubic feet of gas.
Geologists knew the Eagle Ford shale was the source of that oil, but couldn't extract it until new technologies – like horizontal drilling – opened up the shales around 2001. Even with new technologies, shale plays are tough to drill. The shale sits around 12,000 feet below the surface. And it's only about 250 feet thick.
To put it a different way, drillers are trying to drill onto a particular house lot from two miles away. Not only that, but the drill bit has to turn 90 degrees and become horizontal. That's no easy feat, and really only became common in the industry in the last few years.
The Eagle Ford shale stretches from the Mexican border in the southwest almost to Houston in the east – roughly 400 miles. It is about 90 miles wide.
.gif) The only question left: Which companies to buy to profit?
Currently, a dozen relatively liquid, publicly traded oil and gas companies are involved in Eagle Ford. The biggest are ConocoPhillips (COP), Anadarko (APC), and Chesapeake (CHK).
These three are world-class operators. But for more direct exposure to the field, a smaller company is a better bet.
In the latest issue of my investment advisory (out Wednesday), I told readers about my two favorite Eagle Ford stocks. One will get you the most amount of Eagle Ford acreage per share, at the very lowest price. The other is a small company I expect will become one of the major producers in the region. Click here to learn how you can get immediate access to this report.
Good investing,
Porter
Further Reading:
In yesterday's essay, Porter explained who tipped him off to this opportunity, how fast production is likely to grow, and why this could be the largest oilfield in the history of the United States. If you missed it, go back for a quick look here: The Most Important U.S. Oil Discovery in 40 Years.
Market NotesEXXONMOBIL JUST ACED THE STRESS TEST ExxonMobil (XOM) – one of our favorite oil companies – just aced its latest stress test.
Like most every stock, XOM shares were punished during the historic "stress test" of 2008. Shares fell from the $90 level to the mid-$60s in just five months. After a brief rally, shares traded back down to that low point in March 2009 and rebounded nicely. This level is important. It marks the lowest price XOM reached during the worst general selling pressure we've seen in decades.
In early February, we bullishly noted shares were near their historic stress test level. On cue, shares bounced back into the high $60s.
Finding the stress test level is the sort of common-sense "technical analysis" we prefer at DailyWealth. No complicated cycles or geometric shapes to memorize. Just an obvious price where value-focused investors step in to buy shares in one of the world's best companies.
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