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Make Sure Your Portfolio Isn't Guilty of This Common Problem

By Kim Iskyan, founder, Truewealth Asian Investment Daily
Friday, September 9, 2016

For many people, there's no place like home. It's familiar and comfortable. But for your portfolio, staying at home means taking on a lot more risk than you might realize.
 
It's natural to want to invest at home. Investing locally means investing in what you know – which is generally smart.
 
But everyone is guilty of "home-country bias."
 
The average American with a stock portfolio has 79% of his money in U.S.-listed stocks. Investors in Japan put about 55% of their money in Japan-listed stocks. People in Australia have two-thirds of their portfolios in local shares.
 
That might be what they're comfortable with. But from a portfolio-diversification perspective, it's like juggling live dynamite...
 
As the graph below shows, American stocks account for only 51% of total global market capitalization (that is, the value of all stock markets in the world). So American investors are a lot more exposed to U.S.-listed companies than they should be.
 
Japanese investors are even more lopsided in their home preference... Japan accounts for only 7% of the world's stock market. And Australians put 66% of their money into their own market, which makes up just 2% of the world's markets.
 

And Singapore's stock market is only 0.4% of the world total, but Singaporeans invest about 39% in domestic equities. As you can see, investors all over the world tend to have too much exposure to their local markets.
 
Why do people do this?
 
Besides investing in what they know, investors tend to be more optimistic about their own economy, studies have shown. Investors also face fewer tax hassles when buying domestic shares and are subjected to less foreign-currency risk. Plus, investors often trust companies and stocks in their own country more than those outside of their borders.
 
But most investors are making a huge mistake by doing this... without even realizing it. A portfolio that isn't sufficiently diversified is much riskier than one that is well-diversified. Because different markets outperform at different times, having money invested in a range of geographical markets will boost your returns.
 
Take a look at the home-country bias of your personal portfolio... and consider making a few adjustments to move some of your money elsewhere. Your portfolio will thank you for it.
 
Regards,
 
Kim Iskyan




Further Reading:

Two years ago, Doc Eifrig introduced the idea of home-country bias. Read his argument for lightening up your portfolio from U.S. stocks here.
 
Steve is still bullish on the direction of the U.S. stock market. Despite hitting new highs, he says more upside is ahead. Learn more here: Stocks Are Near All-Time Highs... And You Have Nothing to Fear.

Market Notes


A 'BAD TO LESS BAD' WINNER IN ARGENTINA

Things are going from "bad" to "less bad" in Argentina... and it's sending shares of one of Steve's favorite Argentine businesses soaring.
 
Regular readers are familiar with Steve's "bad to less bad" trading strategy. In short, things don't have to get "good" for you to make huge gains after a crisis... they just have to get "less bad." Take the recent crisis in Argentina, for example...
 
Over the past few years, investors had given up on Argentina. The anti-business, socialist policies of the country's former president sent its economy into a tailspin. As Steve explained late last year, Kirchner was ousted in favor of a more business-friendly president, Mauricio Macri. And just as Steve predicted, things have gotten "less bad" in Argentina.
 
One of the biggest benefactors of the "bad to less bad" movement has been agriculture and real estate business Cresud (CRESY). Since Macri took office, shares are up about 60%... and just hit a new 52-week high. It's more proof that "bad to less bad" trading is one of the greatest trading strategies out there...
 

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