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The Perfect Income Investment

By Tom Dyson, publisher, The Palm Beach Letter
Wednesday, May 28, 2008

In 2006, we found the perfect income investment.

Westshore Terminals sits at the end of a long spit in the waters just south of Vancouver. Trains originating from the coal mines of Canada dump their cargo onto company property. Westshore then sorts the coal and loads it onto ships bound for the world's steel mills. That's it.

When readers of my 12% Letter took their position in October 2006, Westshore sported an 11% dividend. Once the world caught on to the story, investors "chased the yield," making Westshore behave like a growth stock. That pick returned 80% in the first 18 months.

Today I'm going to show you why Westshore was the perfect income play... and how you can spot the market's best income investments. Let's get started...

To qualify as a perfect income play, a company must 1) run a simple business, 2) be unable to expand its operation, 3) enjoy a huge "moat," and 4) pay very little (if any) taxes. Here's how Westshore measured up:

First, Westshore's business couldn't be simpler. The railroad brings the coal to Westshore's Vancouver terminal. Westshore removes the coal from railroad hoppers, piles it up using a system of conveyor belts, and then reloads this coal onto ships. Westshore never owns the coal. It simply earns commissions from the coalmine it serves.

Simplicity is important because it's easy to identify the risks in a simple business. All businesses carry risk, but if you can identify them, you can make a more accurate assessment of a company's value.

Would you rather make a bid on a vast corporation with myriad operations and opaque accounting – say, Citigroup – or a coal terminal like Westshore? I always give more value to dividends from simple businesses than from complicated businesses.

Second, Westshore has no way to expand its business. The terminal sits on the head of a spit in the waters south of Vancouver. The railroad tracks run around the perimeter of the spit. Westshore piles up the coal in the center of the spit. There are two docks, a pair of gantry cranes, a parking lot... and just enough room for a couple of prefabricated cabins where management runs the operation.

It may sound odd to say we're looking for companies that can't expand, since most investors are drawn to growth. But we're not looking for growth. We're looking for income. Expansion is a distraction... and often a big waste of money.

Businesses that can't expand have the most focused management teams and pay the safest dividends. We want a company that pumps cash into its dividend, not its capital-expense budget.

Third, Westshore has a huge business moat, meaning there are significant barriers to competition. Westshore exports metallurgical coal. Forges use "met coal" to make steel. There is no substitute for Westshore's coal. The world will always need steel... And the coalmine has enough coal to last for another century. A couple of other terminals export coal from western Canada. But they're too small to make any dent in Westshore's revenues.

We want a business that enjoys a wide moat. Moats protect castles from invaders. In business, moats protect dividends.

Finally, Westshore is an income trust. As long as these companies pay out all their earnings to shareholders, they don't have to pay tax. Companies that don't pay tax have more money to return to shareholders.


But you can find similar opportunities. Look for simple, straightforward businesses that pay few taxes, enjoy a healthy competitive advantage, and are unlikely to spend their money on anything but your dividends.Of course, our Westshore position was a victim of its own success. The share price appreciated so much, its yield diminished and a modest price correction triggered our stop loss... As much as I love Westshore's business, it's still too expensive to leap back into today.

Good investing,

Tom





Market Notes


THE INFRASTRUCTURE CORRECTION IS OVER

Of the hundreds of ETFs on the market, one of the most useful to track is the PowerShares Building & Construction Portfolio (PKB).

This fund is full of the world's largest construction and engineering firms, heavy-equipment makers, and building-material producers. Fluor, which we featured last week, is a large weighting. Also included is Valmont (utility poles and irrigation equipment), Tetra Tech (water), and Terex (excavators and cranes).

The PKB soared from mid-2006 to mid-2007. Infrastructure investors gained 50% in just 12 months. The soaring turned to sinking last year as the credit crisis hammered shares related to global growth. The PKB is now holding steady around $18. So… has infrastructure put in its low?

Our guess is yes. U.S. infrastructure has earned a widely publicized "F" grade. The blossoming BRIC nations require bridges, roads, refineries, pipelines, and ports to continue growing. The Middle East is bathing in cash and needs to upgrade its ability to pump and process crude oil. This industry has an unimaginable amount of money headed toward it... think $41 trillion. We're placing this trend in the "no brainer" category.


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