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Virtual banks are generating extraordinary dividends at the moment. Annaly just paid out $0.75 per share. That's the largest quarterly dividend in its 13-year history... And based on yesterday's share price, it adds up to a 17% annual yield.
According to the promotion, the U.S. Geological Survey has just announced an enormous oil discovery. The USGS says the discovery contains 503 billion barrels of oil, worth $37.7 trillion at current prices.
If I'm right about the big trends and our "new era of turbulence," the VIX should quickly return to normal levels near 30... And if we're lucky, we may even get a spike to abnormal levels near 45.
Volatility has fallen over 75% from the levels it reached in those wild days of 2008. But if I'm right about the long-term trends in volatility, then one of the best volatility trading opportunities I've ever seen is setting up right now...
Oil and copper prices get distorted by millions of investors and their crazy mood swings. Lumber's price is set entirely by professionals dealing with other professionals. It's a "pure" reflection of economic fundamentals, in other words.
These companies based their business models on optimistic assumptions of the future. Conditions have changed, and now these businesses are basically giant portfolios of dud investments. They're going to have to liquidate these investments and slash the scale of their businesses.
One of the benefits of timberland is, if the price isn't right for timber, or if there isn't much demand, you don't have to cut your trees down. You just let them grow bigger and taller. As they say in the industry, you "bank it on the stump."
The market is a game of probability. It has nothing to do with predicting the future. When you treat the market as a game of probability, money management becomes your most important weapon.
Dozens of analysts and traders follow the large companies. The market for large stocks is efficient. There are rarely pricing anomalies or bargains. But the small-cap market is full of pricing anomalies, undervaluation, and inefficiencies. So you can find true values among small caps.
Alternative energies are a pain in the neck. They're expensive and they never work when you need them. "Biomass" is America's newest alternative power source. It doesn't have any of these problems...
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