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Rick Rule's Largest Personal SpeculationBy
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
I remember the first time I saw Rick Rule. He had his feet on a desk and a microphone in his hand. There was a crowd around him. People were calling out stock symbols. Rick was giving them his thoughts on each company while he lounged back in his chair.
Rick is a mining and energy guy... He manages hundreds of millions of dollars, which he invests in natural resource businesses. Recently, I heard Doug Casey describe the performance of one of Rick's private partnerships. Doug said the fund paid him a 100% dividend for nine or 10 years in a row... and then the final check was for 10 times his money. Last month in Argentina, I heard Rick give a 30-minute presentation to a room full of investors... "For the first time in my life," said Rick, "people like Barack Obama and Barbara Streisand think I'm a good guy." What? Rick Rule has spent the last 40 years figuring out how to dig holes, clear forests, and run pipelines. Socialist politicians and liberal celebrities should hate him. So what's going on? Rick has started investing in geothermal energy... At certain spots around the Earth, usually at the boundaries of tectonic plates, heat reaches the surface of the planet in the form of molten rock... or magma. The molten rocks heat the surface water, producing steam. Geothermal companies harness this steam to drive turbines and produce electricity. Cooling towers turn the steam back into water. The companies inject this water back into the heat source, and the cycle begins again. Geothermal companies can produce electricity 24 hours a day without any interruption. This energy is cheap, it's clean, it requires no additional fuel, and it's profitable without any government subsidies. But here's the best part... The government wants to fight global warming, and it's giving major subsidies to alternative-energy companies. Four weeks ago, the Department of Energy announced it was granting $323 million to 123 geothermal companies in 39 states. And six weeks ago, it announced a program for geothermal companies to get cheap loans, guaranteed by the government. Rick says you can normally make 10% returns from geothermal energy, but with the government's subsidy, you can now make 18%-20% returns per year. Rick says geothermal has so much potential over the next 10 years, it's his largest personal speculation right now... The largest geothermal stock is Ormat Technologies (ORA). With a market cap of $1.9 billion, Ormat generates electricity from geothermal heat. It also supplies equipment and builds plants for other geothermal companies. When it comes to geothermal energy in the U.S., Ormat is the elephant. Right now, I'm waiting for Ormat to close at a new high for the year. When Ormat breaks out, you'll know the geothermal bull market is taking off... Good investing, Tom P.S. In my trading service, Penny Trends, I'm watching the smallest stocks in the geothermal industry. Many of these stocks will go up 1,000% and more by the time the bull market in geothermal is done. If you'd like access to the list – and my best advice on when and how to get in on the geothermal bull market – consider a trial subscription to Penny Trends. Click here for details.
Further Reading:
A New Power Boom Starts in California Market NotesGOLD IS DUE FOR A BREAK
Today, we check in with an asset that needs a break soon: gold.
Below today's price chart, you'll find an indicator called the "RSI." The RSI measures overbought or oversold conditions on a given asset. When folks go wild for an asset, the RSI can reach "race car in the red" readings above 80. Gold staged an upside breakout in early October. Since then, it has enjoyed a monster $150-per-ounce rally. This rally has left gold badly "stretched" to the upside. The RSI's "overbought" reading is at its highest point in 12 months. When a market is this stretched, all it takes is a lack of buying to cause a sharp correction. (I've marked previous examples with red arrows.) Long term, gold has a bright future. The U.S. government's crazed "spend and tax and inflate our way to prosperity" program is murderous on our currency... which will drive people into real money (gold) for years. But in the short term, gold is like a runner that has sprinted flat out for a mile. It will take a deserved rest soon. 
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